Especially those who are just starting to trade in the crypto markets or those considering entering this market are curious about the answer to the question “when is the next crypto bull market“. In this article, we aim to enlighten new crypto investors.
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Where are we in the crypto market?
As you know, crypto investors witnessed a huge altcoin bull run in 2021. After the pandemic period, many countries printed money, leading to a significant abundance of currency during the low-interest rate period. This situation affected the crypto market as well, and we saw significant rises in many altcoins as well as Bitcoin. Following this, the monetary volume of the market began to decrease, leading to a transition into a bear market.
The fundamental problem during the bear market was that new investors from that time did not fully grasp their position. Particularly, the crypto exchanges’ bots making instant buy-sell transactions in low-volume markets caused sharp rises and falls in cryptocurrencies, leading many investors using leverage to get liquidated.
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In fact, even though the market volume decreased, those who entered the market during that period thought that cryptocurrencies, which seemed to be overpriced, would rise, and many ended up losing money. Therefore, when you start trading in the crypto market, how knowledgeable you are, and how well you can read the market, is of great importance.
Since that period, many investors have been continuously adding to their portfolios during the bear season, preparing for the bull season. And now, the market is ready for the bull season. Especially with Donald Trump taking the presidential seat in the US and Ethereum starting to rise, lowering Bitcoin dominance, we can say that the altcoin bull run has begun. And that day is closer than ever.
When is the next crypto bull market?
Looking at altcoin bull cycles, we generally see major rises occurring one year after Bitcoin (BTC) halving. While Bitcoin halvings occur every 4 years (2016, 2020, and 2024), altcoin bull runs have happened a year later (2017 and 2021). That’s why many investors think the next altcoin bull run will be in 2025. Macroeconomic data and political developments also support this scenario.
The importance of Bitcoin halving is that every 4 years, the mining rewards for Bitcoin are halved. This leads mining companies and individual investors to wait for their Bitcoins to appreciate in value due to the reduced rewards, thereby reducing selling pressure. When the selling pressure on Bitcoin decreases, if macroeconomic data, global political and economic developments, and news flow are favorable, the price rises. As the price rises, Bitcoin dominance increases, which negatively impacts altcoins.
However, when Bitcoin reaches its ATH (All-Time High) and hits the ceiling it can reach in that bull run, it continues to attract investment for a while longer. During this process, some Bitcoin investors start selling their Bitcoins to move into altcoins. This does not cause a significant drop in Bitcoin since it continues to attract investment. However, altcoins strengthen against Bitcoin and gain value. In past cycles, Ethereum has always led the altcoin bull run.
At the time this article was written, Ethereum has not yet started this altcoin bull run. However, there is an expectation that this will happen soon. The main reasons for this expectation in the crypto community include the FED lowering interest rates, Trump supporting cryptocurrencies, Elon Musk entering politics, and the market inevitably anticipating this.
Risks awaiting new and old investors
Although many people are expecting a new altcoin bull run in the crypto markets soon, it’s important not to forget that the risks concerning all markets also apply to the altcoin sector, and this market carries more risk. I would like to remind you of how negatively the invasion of Ukraine by Russia and the tensions between Israel and Iran affected the market.
Moreover, if new investors are reading this article in the middle or at the end of a bull market and are considering entering, I must point out that the likelihood of them exiting with a loss is very high.
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